18+ · 遵守當地法規 · 僅供參考
本站僅面向達到法定年齡的成年人。請只在體育博彩或預測市場合法的地區使用。模型勝率、賠率比較、Kelly 倉位、排名和回測僅為資訊參考，不構成投注、投資、財務、法律或稅務建議。
This page publishes available backtest context and calibration metrics from the running model service. Historical results describe the tested sample only; they do not predict future outcomes or guarantee returns.
Informational and educational only — not betting, financial, legal, or investment advice. 18+; follow local laws.
Matches in backtest
156
Tournaments tested
7
Model
blend
Best historical strategy
1/2 Kelly
回測年份 Y 僅使用 year < Y 的比賽訓練；不使用該年或未來年份訓練資料。
每場只下注 Full Kelly 最高且具正邊際的一個 1X2 方向。
歷史賠率未儲存；市場價格為 Elo 機率加水位的模擬代理，非真實盤口。
Calibration sample
156
Evaluation tournaments
7
Log loss
elo: 1.054 · poisson: 1.063 · blend: 1.055
ROI is not repeated here unless the underlying backend returns it with a defined sample and assumptions. No metrics on this page should be read as a promise of accuracy or profit.