18歳以上 · 現地法令が適用されます · 参考情報のみ
本サイトは法定年齢に達した成人向けです。スポーツベッティングまたは予測市場が合法な地域でのみ利用してください。モデル確率、オッズ比較、Kelly 配分、ランキング、バックテストは情報提供のみであり、ベッティング、投資、金融、法務、税務助言ではありません。
This page publishes available backtest context and calibration metrics from the running model service. Historical results describe the tested sample only; they do not predict future outcomes or guarantee returns.
Informational and educational only — not betting, financial, legal, or investment advice. 18+; follow local laws.
Matches in backtest
156
Tournaments tested
7
Model
blend
Best historical strategy
1/2 Kelly
For backtest year Y, training uses only matches from years before Y; same-year and future data are excluded.
For each match, only the single 1X2 outcome with the highest positive Full Kelly value is selected.
Historical odds are not stored; market prices are a simulated proxy based on Elo probabilities plus an overround, not live odds.
Calibration sample
156
Evaluation tournaments
7
Log loss
elo: 1.054 · poisson: 1.063 · blend: 1.055
ROI is not repeated here unless the underlying backend returns it with a defined sample and assumptions. No metrics on this page should be read as a promise of accuracy or profit.