18+ · Lokale Gesetze beachten · Nur Referenz
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This page publishes available backtest context and calibration metrics from the running model service. Historical results describe the tested sample only; they do not predict future outcomes or guarantee returns.
Informational and educational only — not betting, financial, legal, or investment advice. 18+; follow local laws.
Matches in backtest
156
Tournaments tested
7
Model
blend
Best historical strategy
1/2 Kelly
For backtest year Y, training uses only matches from years before Y; same-year and future data are excluded.
For each match, only the single 1X2 outcome with the highest positive Full Kelly value is selected.
Historical odds are not stored; market prices are a simulated proxy based on Elo probabilities plus an overround, not live odds.
Calibration sample
156
Evaluation tournaments
7
Log loss
elo: 1.054 · poisson: 1.063 · blend: 1.055
ROI is not repeated here unless the underlying backend returns it with a defined sample and assumptions. No metrics on this page should be read as a promise of accuracy or profit.